IL9Cast Post-Mortem: What We Got Right, and What the Markets Saw First
A look back at the IL-9 forecast: where the fundamentals model landed, what the prediction markets saw first, and what I'd do differently.
Writing
Essays and articles on elections, forecasting, campaigns, and politics.
ETHS Teacher Miten Patel on Democracy, Cynicism, and Hope
The Evanstonian
People's Edict
An essay on power, strife, and the arc of democratic governance in the modern era.
The Conflation Between Median Voter Theory and Trump's Win
How the Trump Campaign used an obscure political science concept to move the electorate.
Resolution on State Interception of Communications
Why the intentional censorship and oversight of private communications without a warrant is unconstitutional.
ETHS Students Reflect on Casting First Ballots in Congressional Primary
The Daily Northwestern
D202 Board Confronts Deficit, Improves Sustainability
The Evanstonian
District 65 Board Remains at Impasse Over Salem Replacement
The Evanstonian
Finals Return with Familiar 10% Weight
The Evanstonian
Democratic Candidates Battle for Lead in Illinois Ninth Congressional District Primary
The Evanstonian
Kits on the Rise: Field Hockey and Swim & Dive Eye State Success
The Evanstonian
Equity or Exclusion? District 65 Draws a Federal Eye.
The Evanstonian
Top 4 Candidates in Illinois' 9th Congressional District Race
The Evanstonian
Contentious Races Decided in Evanston
The Evanstonian
$2.5 Million Dollar Donation Added to the Auditorium Renovations
The Evanstonian
Evanston's Mayoral Race: Biss vs. Boarini
The Evanstonian